Click on a heading to expand the section. Inputs and sections in darker text will have affect on outputs, whereas lighter colored sections and inputs do not affect any outputs for a particular scenario.
Root mean squared error values (RMSE) for outputs indicate the error between the model used in the page against the NAADSM model. Confidence intervals are pre-chosen to determine the number of iterations required for the model to attain the confidence level.
Click on the ^{?} next to any input parameter name to see the related section in the model documentation.
Click the × button on individual inputs, or sections, to place the item in the Hidden Parameters section. Click on anything in this section to replace it in its correct place.
Latent period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 11 |
Infectious subclinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 6 |
Infectious clinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 40 |
Immune period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
100 | 1600 |
Within-unit prevalence (fraction of animals infected vs. days since infection was introduced into the unit) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Fraction |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 50 | |||
Days since infected |
Latent period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 10 |
Infectious subclinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 5 |
Infectious clinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 40 |
Immune period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
100 | 1600 |
Within-unit prevalence (fraction of animals infected vs. days since infection was introduced into the unit) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Fraction |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 50 | |||
Days since infected |
Latent period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 18 |
Infectious subclinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 5 |
Infectious clinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 110 |
Immune period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
600 | 1600 |
Within-unit prevalence (fraction of animals infected vs. days since infection was introduced into the unit) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Fraction |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 50 | |||
Days since infected |
Latent period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 14 |
Infectious subclinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 9 |
Infectious clinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 800 |
Immune period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
100 | 1600 |
Within-unit prevalence (fraction of animals infected vs. days since infection was introduced into the unit) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Fraction |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since infected |
Latent period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 9 |
Infectious subclinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 5 |
Infectious clinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 800 |
Immune period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
100 | 1600 |
Within-unit prevalence (fraction of animals infected vs. days since infection was introduced into the unit) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Fraction |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 310 | |||
Days since infected |
Latent period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 12 |
Infectious subclinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-2 | 14 |
Infectious clinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 70 |
Immune period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
600 | 1200 |
Within-unit prevalence (fraction of animals infected vs. days since infection was introduced into the unit) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Fraction |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 40 | |||
Days since infected |
Latent period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 18 |
Infectious subclinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 10 |
Infectious clinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 900 |
Immune period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1400 |
Within-unit prevalence (fraction of animals infected vs. days since infection was introduced into the unit) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Fraction |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 50 | |||
Days since infected |
Latent period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 11 |
Infectious subclinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
-1 | 6 |
Infectious clinical period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 900 |
Immune period (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1400 |
Within-unit prevalence (fraction of animals infected vs. days since infection was introduced into the unit) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Fraction |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 90 | |||
Days since infected |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.14 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.14 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 600 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.0006 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.0012 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1100 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.0012 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 7000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.024 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2200 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.14 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 600 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.14 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.0006 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.009 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 7000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.009 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1100 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.00015 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 170 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.00015 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.32 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.1 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 7000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.01 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.01 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 170 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.01 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.01 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 170 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.01 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.01 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 4000 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1600 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 800 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.028 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2200 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.028 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1500 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.007 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.009 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.05 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 800 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.12 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.01 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 800 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.0014 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 800 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.014 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 800 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.08 | 0.32 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.0027 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.1 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.14 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.7 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1.8 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 900 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.15 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 900 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.06 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 900 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.05 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.08 | 0.32 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.021 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 900 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.13 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.19 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1.1 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2.4 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.2 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.08 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.07 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.08 | 0.32 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.031 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1600 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.09 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.13 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.6 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1.6 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1100 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.29 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.14 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.05 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.13 | 0.27 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.05 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.019 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.07 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.09 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.5 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1.2 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.1 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2500 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.04 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2500 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.03 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2500 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.014 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.027 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 400 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.12 | 0.28 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.04 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.21 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.6 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.05 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 2700 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.16 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 400 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.1 | 0.3 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.04 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 400 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.006 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 400 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.08 | 0.32 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.05 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.04 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.18 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 11 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.5 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.04 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.2 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.011 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.11 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.08 | 0.32 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.018 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.009 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.007 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.04 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.08 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0.11 | 0.3 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.007 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.002 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.019 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0.1 | ||||
0 | 100 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.004 |
Distance (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1200 |
Probability of infection given exposure ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Multiplier |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 7 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.001 | 0.009 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.001 | 0.009 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2.8 | 3.7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2.8 | 3.7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.003 | 0.007 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.003 | 0.007 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 3.6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.001 | 0.009 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.001 | 0.009 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2.8 | 3.7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.001 | 0.009 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2.8 | 3.7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.001 | 0.009 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2.8 | 3.7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 3.6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.004 | 0.009 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.003 | 0.007 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 3.6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.003 | 0.007 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 3.6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.003 | 0.007 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.003 | 0.007 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2.8 | 3.7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2.8 | 3.7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 3.6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
2 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 9 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 9 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 9 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 8 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0.001 | 0.009 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.025 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 9 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 9 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.025 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 4.1 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 0.025 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 6 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 8 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of spread at 1km ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Maximum distance of spread (km) ^{?} ↺ ×
3 | 7 |
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
180 | 180 |
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ^{?} ↺ ×
360 | 360 |
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 14 | |||
Days clinical |
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 40 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 20 | |||
Days clinical |
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 40 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 40 | |||
Days clinical |
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 40 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 13 | |||
Days clinical |
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 13 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 13 | |||
Days clinical |
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 140 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 21 | |||
Days clinical |
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 40 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 40 | |||
Days clinical |
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 40 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 9 | |||
Days clinical |
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | Probability |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 40 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
7 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0.6 | 0.8 |
Period of interest for indirect contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
14 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing an indirect contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Delay for tracing (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 28 |
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
7 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Period of interest for indirect contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
14 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing an indirect contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Delay for tracing (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 28 |
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
24 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Period of interest for indirect contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
14 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing an indirect contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0.35 | 0.46 |
Delay for tracing (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 28 |
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
14 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Period of interest for indirect contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
14 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing an indirect contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Delay for tracing (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 28 |
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
25 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0.65 | 0.77 |
Period of interest for indirect contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
14 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing an indirect contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0.35 | 0.43 |
Delay for tracing (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 28 |
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
7 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0.5 | 0.59 |
Period of interest for indirect contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
14 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing an indirect contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0.25 | 0.38 |
Delay for tracing (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 28 |
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
7 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Period of interest for indirect contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
25 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing an indirect contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Delay for tracing (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 28 |
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
7 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Period of interest for indirect contacts (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
25 | 28 |
Probability of successfully tracing an indirect contact ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 1 |
Delay for tracing (days) ^{?} ↺ ×
0 | 28 |
Depopulation program delay (days after first detection in the population) ^{?} ↺ ×
1 | 3 |
Depopulation capacity (units per day vs. days since the first detection) ^{?} ↺ ×
16 | Units/day |
|||
0 | ||||
0 | 30 | |||
Days since 1st detection |
Disease Duration The outbreak lasted days from the first infection. |
6 | 30 |
(RMSE 0.7) confidence interval ±7
Animals Depopulated Total of animals depopulated. |
0 | 160000 |
(RMSE 628.3) confidence interval ±7
Farms Depopulated Total of farms depopulated. |
0 | 130 |
(RMSE 0.2) confidence interval ±7