Inputs
Click on a heading to expand the section. Inputs and sections in darker text will have affect on outputs, whereas lighter colored sections and inputs do not affect any outputs for a particular scenario.
Root mean squared error values (RMSE) for outputs indicate the error between the model used in the page against the NAADSM model. Confidence intervals are pre-chosen to determine the number of iterations required for the model to attain the confidence level.
Click on the ? next to any input parameter name to see the related section in the model documentation.
Click the × button on individual inputs, or sections, to place the item in the Hidden Parameters section. Click on anything in this section to replace it in its correct place.
×
Beef ×
-
Latent period (days) ? ↺ ×
-0.1 3.1 -
Infectious subclinical period (days) ? ↺ ×
-1 4 -
Infectious clinical period (days) ? ↺ ×
0 110 -
Immune period (days) ? ↺ ×
100 1600
Dairy ×
-
Latent period (days) ? ↺ ×
-1 4 -
Infectious subclinical period (days) ? ↺ ×
0 2.6 -
Infectious clinical period (days) ? ↺ ×
0 70 -
Immune period (days) ? ↺ ×
100 1600
Sheep and Goats ×
-
Latent period (days) ? ↺ ×
0 11 -
Infectious subclinical period (days) ? ↺ ×
-1 5 -
Infectious clinical period (days) ? ↺ ×
2 30 -
Immune period (days) ? ↺ ×
100 1200
Swine Large ×
-
Latent period (days) ? ↺ ×
-1 18 -
Infectious subclinical period (days) ? ↺ ×
-0.2 2 -
Infectious clinical period (days) ? ↺ ×
13 26 -
Immune period (days) ? ↺ ×
0 1400
Swine small ×
×
Direct Contact Spread ×
From Beef ×
To Beef ×
From Dairy ×
To Beef ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.7 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 4000 -
Probability of infection given exposure ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Dairy ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.024 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 4000 -
Probability of infection given exposure ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Sheep and Goats ×
From Sheep and Goats ×
To Sheep and Goats ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.7 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 90 -
Probability of infection given exposure ↺ ×
0.87 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine small ×
From Swine Large ×
To Swine Large ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.5 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 1500 -
Probability of infection given exposure ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine small ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.027 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 1500 -
Probability of infection given exposure ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
From Swine small ×
To Beef ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.27 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2200 -
Probability of infection given exposure ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 7 Days since 1st detection
To Swine small ×
Indirect Contact Spread ×
From Beef ×
To Beef ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.17 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Dairy ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.028 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Sheep and Goats ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.0025 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine Large ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.0025 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine small ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.02 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
From Dairy ×
To Beef ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.9 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Dairy ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 3 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0.19 0.36 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Sheep and Goats ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.04 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine Large ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.0025 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine small ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.4 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
From Sheep and Goats ×
To Beef ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.2 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Dairy ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.2 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Sheep and Goats ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.4 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0.11 0.32 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine small ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.2 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 2700 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
From Swine Large ×
To Beef ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.13 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 1200 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Dairy ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.06 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 1200 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine Large ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.09 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 1200 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine small ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.09 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 1200 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
From Swine small ×
To Beef ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.13 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 1200 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Dairy ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.13 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 1200 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0 0 100 Days since 1st detection
To Swine small ×
-
Contact rate (recipient-farms for contacts per source-farm per day) ? ↺ ×
0 0.4 -
Distance (km) ? ↺ ×
0 1200 -
Probability of infection given exposure ? ↺ ×
0.21 0.45 -
Movement control (multiplier on contact rate vs. days since first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Multiplier0.3 0 100 Days since 1st detection
Airborne Spread ×
From Beef ×
To Beef ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Dairy ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Sheep and Goats ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine Large ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine small ×
From Dairy ×
To Beef ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Dairy ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0.004 0.012 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2.8 3.7 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Sheep and Goats ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0.004 0.012 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine Large ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0.004 0.012 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine small ×
From Sheep and Goats ×
To Beef ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Dairy ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Sheep and Goats ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine Large ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
2 6 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine small ×
From Swine Large ×
To Beef ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
3 9 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Dairy ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
3 9 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Sheep and Goats ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
3 8 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine Large ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0.004 0.012 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
3 3.8 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine small ×
From Swine small ×
To Beef ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
3 9 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Dairy ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 0.028 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
3 9 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Sheep and Goats ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
3 8 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine Large ×
-
Probability of spread at 1km ? ↺ ×
0.004 0.012 -
Maximum distance of spread (km) ? ↺ ×
3 7 -
Central direction of airborne spread (degrees) ? ↺ ×
180 180 -
Span of angles around central direction (degrees) ? ↺ ×
360 360
To Swine small ×
×
Beef ×
-
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ? ↺ ×
1 Probability0 0 40 Days clinical -
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Probability0 0 40 Days since 1st detection
Dairy ×
-
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ? ↺ ×
1 Probability0 0 24 Days clinical -
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Probability0 0 40 Days since 1st detection
Sheep and Goats ×
-
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ? ↺ ×
1 Probability0 0 40 Days clinical -
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Probability0 0 40 Days since 1st detection
Swine Large ×
-
Probability of observing clinical signs (probability vs. days the unit has been showing clinical signs) ? ↺ ×
1 Probability0 0 21 Days clinical -
Probability of reporting (probability vs. days since the first detection in the population) ? ↺ ×
1 Probability0 0 40 Days since 1st detection
Swine small ×
×
Beef ×
-
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ? ↺ ×
7 28 -
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Delay for tracing (days) ? ↺ ×
0 28
Dairy ×
-
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ? ↺ ×
7 28 -
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Delay for tracing (days) ? ↺ ×
0 28
Sheep and Goats ×
-
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ? ↺ ×
7 28 -
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Delay for tracing (days) ? ↺ ×
0 28
Swine Large ×
-
Period of interest for direct contacts (days) ? ↺ ×
7 28 -
Probability of successfully tracing a direct contact ? ↺ ×
0 1 -
Delay for tracing (days) ? ↺ ×
0 28
Swine small ×
×
×
-
Number of detections before vaccination begins ? ↺ ×
1 25 -
Vaccination capacity (units per day vs. days since the first detection) ? ↺ ×
1500 Units/day0 0 26 Days since 1st detection
Beef ×
-
Radius of vaccination ring around this type (km) ? ↺ ×
0 250 -
Delay to vaccine immunity (days) ? ↺ ×
0 10 -
Vaccine immune period (days) ? ↺ ×
0 1000 -
Minimum time between vaccinations (days) ? ↺ ×
30 190
Dairy ×
-
Radius of vaccination ring around this type (km) ? ↺ ×
0 250 -
Delay to vaccine immunity (days) ? ↺ ×
0 10 -
Vaccine immune period (days) ? ↺ ×
20 250 -
Minimum time between vaccinations (days) ? ↺ ×
30 190
Sheep and Goats ×
-
Radius of vaccination ring around this type (km) ? ↺ ×
0 250 -
Delay to vaccine immunity (days) ? ↺ ×
4 10 -
Vaccine immune period (days) ? ↺ ×
20 250 -
Minimum time between vaccinations (days) ? ↺ ×
30 180
Swine Large ×
-
Radius of vaccination ring around this type (km) ? ↺ ×
0 250 -
Delay to vaccine immunity (days) ? ↺ ×
5 9 -
Vaccine immune period (days) ? ↺ ×
20 220 -
Minimum time between vaccinations (days) ? ↺ ×
30 180
Swine small ×
Hidden Parameters
Outputs
-
Disease Duration
The outbreak lasted days from the first infection.0 60 (RMSE 6.5) confidence interval ±7
-
Animals Depopulated
Total of animals depopulated.0 1.6e+06 (RMSE 28034.0) confidence interval ±7
-
Farms Vaccinated
There were farms which were vaccinated (farms can be vaccinated on multiple occasions).0 90000 (RMSE 6353.7) confidence interval ±7
